Australia’s Kate Miller-Heidke may be the longshot with a chance at this week’s Eurovision Song Contest in Tel Aviv according to Dance Direct.
Dance Direct is using a prediction methodology based on various factors such as BPM, Dance-ability, Energy, Loudness, Valance (mood) and Speech-iness to determine popularity and therefore an outcome for Eurovision.
Based on the components of the Dance Direct algorithm Kate Miller-Heidke is predicted to come in at 18th place. However, Laura Crimmons of Silverthorn Agency in London says the unknown factor is the look on the day and Kate has that in her favour. “From the rehearsals it looks like her performance and dress will be a challenge to top,” Laura tells Noise11.com.
Kate Miller-Heidke is performing her original song ‘Zero Gravity’ at Eurovision. Kate’s performance is yet to be judged so any position better than 18 will be due to her performance.
Dance Direct data also shows that Australia is limited by ally countries. Australians tend to show allegiance to the UK and Ireland in their voting by the UK fans tend to vote for Sweden, Bulgaria and Lithuania before throwing points at Australia.
Based on the data available Dance Direct predicts Duncan Laurance of The Netherlands will win Eurovision. “According to data from Dance Direct, which is based on the past winners and the factors that seem to shape the criteria indicated as the ‘perfect’ Eurovision, the Netherlands’ Duncan Lawrence is outlined as the favourite for Eurovision 2019 with his original song, “Arcade” which fits most of the criteria”.
Predicted winner – Duncan Laurance – Arcade
Dance Direct’s Top 10 Eurovision 2019 Predictions are:
1. Netherlands – Duncan Laurance ‘Arcade’
2. Italy – Mahmood – ‘Soldi’
3. Sweden – John Lundvik ‘Too Late For Love’
4. Hungary – Pápai Joci ‘Az én apám’
5. Austria – PAENDA ‘Limits’
6. North Macedonia – ‘Tamara Todevska ‘Proud’
7. Norway – KeiiNO – ‘Spirit In The Sky’
8. Portugal – Conan Osiris ‘Telemóveis’
9. Israel – Kobi Marimi ‘Home’
10. Switzerland – Luca Hänni – She Got Me
One interesting factor with Eurovision is that Spotify and YouTube cannot be used as an indicator as to who will win. Previous years have demonstrated that what people want to watch and what people want to listen to are two completely different reactions.
That means that once the Eurovision song is determined, more than likely the song will go into oblivion. This is also true with Reality TV shows such as The Voice, Idol and Got Talent. Once a winner is announced, the audience immediately moves on to the next show and leaves the winner battling obscurity once again.
Eurovision is consumed by the audience the same as the Reality TV shows. It is a fast food thrill and then quickly forgotten.